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乘客多路径决策下的城市公交复合网络韧性评估
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Resilience evaluation of urban public transport composite networks under passengers’ multi-path decision-making
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    地铁突发中断会导致列车延误和站点乘客拥堵问题,对乘客疏散和应急管理带来挑战.为了探究城市公交网络在突发中断下的性能水平,本文基于韧性理论提出了一种考虑突发中断下乘客出行多路径决策的复合网络韧性评估方法.首先,结合客流和地理信息数据,构建考虑站点“一对多”耦合方式的城市公交复合网络模型,确定不同故障站点下的网络中断区间;其次,考虑乘客在应急状态下的多路径决策进行网络层间流量分配,并计算其出行时间;最后,基于复合网络性能函数确定复合网络韧性的评估框架,并通过实例分析比较不同中断场景下的网络韧性水平.研究表明,不同站点故障下的网络韧性水平存在较大差异,其中网络的中断区间、线路客流量以及地铁耦合公交站点的状况都会影响中断下的网络韧性.本研究提出的城市公交复合网络韧性评估方法可以为制定突发中断下的应急响应方案提供参考依据.

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    Sudden metro service interruptions can result in train delays and passenger congestion at stations. This, in turn, will present significant challenges for passenger evacuation and emergency management. To evaluate the performance of urban public transport networks under such disruptions, this paper proposes a composite network resilience assessment method based on resilience theory, which considers passengers’ multi-path decision-making for travel in the event of sudden disruptions. Firstly, the construction of an urban public transport composite network model, which considers the “one-to-many” coupling mode of stations, is based on the combination of passenger flow and geographic information data. This model is used to determine the network interruption intervals under different faulty stations. Secondly, the inter-layer traffic distribution of the network is carried out, taking into account the passengers’ multi-path decision-making in emergencies and calculating their travel times. Ultimately, an evaluation framework for the resilience of the composite network is established based on the composite network performance function. Furthermore, the network resilience levels under disparate interruption scenarios are contrasted through case analysis. The findings indicate that there are notable discrepancies in the network resilience levels under varying station failures. Among these discrepancies, the interruption interval of the network, the passenger flow volume of the lines, and the conditions of the subway-coupled bus stations will all influence the network resilience under interruptions. The resilience assessment method for urban bus composite networks proposed in this study can serve as a reference for the development of emergency response plans in the event of sudden disruptions.

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赖元文 ,张诗棋 ,葛玉晨 ,王书易 ?.乘客多路径决策下的城市公交复合网络韧性评估[J].湖南大学学报:自然科学版,2026,(1):185~195

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-02-06
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