+高级检索
基于随机森林赋权和改进ELECTRE-Ⅲ方法的科技奖励评价研究
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

基金项目:


Research on the Evaluation of Science and Technology Award Based on Random Forest and Improved ELECTRE-Ⅲ
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    针对科技奖励评价中各指标权重的不确定性问题,提出随机森林赋权法,利用可靠性分析计算专家评分数据的泛化误差,根据最小错误率得到各评价项目的各评价指标权重,减少主观赋权的影响;引入一致可信度、非一致可信度和净可信度信息,提出改进的ELECTRE-Ⅲ方法,将某一评价项目优于其他评价项目的程度具体量化,解决专家评分数据为次序变量的问题.实证表明:随机森林赋权法和改进后的ELECTRE-Ⅲ方法相结合,既提高了权重估计的精确度和可信度,又解决了难以给定门槛值和不能完全排序的问题,使评价结果更加科学、客观、合理.

    Abstract:

    To address the uncertainty of the target weight in assessing science and technology awards, the Random Forest Weighting Method was proposed. Reliability analysis was used to calculate the generalization error of expert evaluation data,and according to the minimum error rate, to obtain the evaluation project of each evaluation index weight and to reduce the impact of subjective weighting.Consistently reliable information, inconsistently reliable information and net reliable information were introduced. An improved ELECTRE-Ⅲ method was put forward to solve the problem of expert evaluation data for order variability. A specific number to measure a certain degree of an evaluation project is superior to other evaluation project. Empirical evidence shows that the combination of the Random Forest Weighting Method with the improved ELECTRE-Ⅲ method not only improve the accuracy and reliability of weight estimation , but also solve the problem of inability to set threshold level and rank completely, leading to more scientific, objective and reasonable evaluation results.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
文章指标
  • PDF下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 摘要点击次数:
  • 引用次数:
引用本文

王瑛,王娜,肖薇.基于随机森林赋权和改进ELECTRE-Ⅲ方法的科技奖励评价研究[J].湖南大学学报:自然科学版,2015,42(3):140~144

复制
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2015-04-09
  • 出版日期:
作者稿件一经被我刊录用,如无特别声明,即视作同意授予我刊论文整体的全部复制传播的权利,包括但不限于复制权、发行权、信息网络传播权、广播权、表演权、翻译权、汇编权、改编权等著作使用权转让给我刊,我刊有权根据工作需要,允许合作的数据库、新媒体平台及其他数字平台进行数字传播和国际传播等。特此声明。
关闭