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考虑数据异常及新旧程度影响有界性 的地基沉降预测方法
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A Prediction Method of Foundation Settlement Considering Anomaly and Newness-oldness Degree Influence Boundedness of Measured Data
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    在现有沉降组合模型预测方法研究基础上,通过考虑实测沉降数据新旧程度及其影响的有界性特点,提出了度量实测沉降数据新旧程度的新鲜度函数分析模型,它能同时反映实测点与预测点之间的时间距离和实测误差以及实测数据新旧程度影响有界性对沉降预测的影响. 基于统计学理论提出了排除异常实测数据引起沉降预测不合理的实测数据样本处理方法. 利用上述模型与方法,提出了可反映实测沉降数据异常和新旧程度及其影响程度有界性的地基或路基沉降组合预测新方法. 通过工程实例计算以及本文与现有同类方法预测与实测结果的比较分析,表明了本文地基或路基预测模型与方法的合理性与优越性.

    Abstract:

    Based on the research of prediction methods for foundation or subgrade settlement by existing combination model,firstly,an analytical model of freshness function is proposed to measure the newness-oldness degree of measured settlement data,considering the features of newness-oldness degree and its influence boundedness of measured settlement data. The proposed method can also reflect the effect of time distance between the measured and predicted point,measured error and boundedness of newness-oldness as well as its influence degree of the measured data on the settlement prediction. Secondly,based on statistical theory,a disposal method of measured data sample is developed which can exclude the unreasonable settlement prediction caused by some abnormal measured data. Then,using the above-mentioned model and method,a new method for combined prediction of foundation or subgrade settlement is put forward,which can reflect the influence of abnormality of measured settlement data,their oldness and newness degree and boundedness of its influence degree on settlement prediction of foundation or subgrade. Finally,it shows the rationality and superiority of the proposed model and method by calculation of actual engineering examples and comparison and analysis among the prediction results by the proposed and the existing similar methods as well as the measured results.

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曹文贵,谭涛.考虑数据异常及新旧程度影响有界性 的地基沉降预测方法[J].湖南大学学报:自然科学版,2020,47(3):37~43

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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-03-17
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