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滑坡灾害影响下高速公路网络鲁棒性分析
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Robustness Analysis of Expressway Network under Influence of Landslide Disasters
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    摘要:

    地质灾害的发生通常导致道路交通基础设施大面积故障,将对区域内的交通活动产生严重影响.为分析交通系统抵御灾害破坏的能力,本研究在考虑地质灾害对运输网络影响的基础上,提出了一种评估公路网络鲁棒性的方法.结合历史灾害数据,将灾害对道路交通的影响量化为网络中路段的受损概率,以路段受损概率和路段重要性指标定义了路段的脆弱性指标.运用渗流理论,通过模拟并比较网络在受到不同策略的攻击后鲁棒性指标的变化,从网络结构和性能两个方面评估了网络的鲁棒性.在结构方面,以通过网络连通子图规模找出渗流的临界阈值作为鲁棒性指标;在性能方面,以网络整体可达性评估渗流过程中网络整体性能变化.研究发现,网络在基于路段脆弱性指标的攻击下最为脆弱,结构和性能两个方面的评估结果均表明网络的主要组件占整体结构的40%~50%.同时,本研究以渗流的临界阈值和鲁棒性指标变化峰值识别出了可能的关键路段,提出通过对比不同路段对网络整体的影响,确定网络中有效关键路段的方法.本研究提出的从网络鲁棒性评估到网络关键路段识别的研究框架能够为评估和提升交通网络鲁棒性提供参考,并为交通运输网络的规划和管理提供理论支撑.

    Abstract:

    The occurrence of geologic hazards often results in widespread failures of road transportation infrastructures, significantly affecting regional transportation activities. To assess the transportation system’s resilience to disasters, this study introduces a method for evaluating the robustness of road networks, considering the influence of geologic disasters. Utilizing historical disaster data, the impact of disasters on road transportation is quantified as the damage probability to network segments. The vulnerability index of road segments is defined based on the damage probability and indicators of the importance of road segments. Employing percolation theory, the study evaluates network robustness from structure and performance perspectives, simulating and comparing changes in robustness indicators under different attack strategies. Structurally, the critical percolation threshold is determined through the connectivity subgraph scale as the robustness index. Regarding performance, overall network accessibility is used to assess performance changes during the percolation process. Results show that the network is most vulnerable to attacks based on road segment vulnerability indicators, with both structural and performance assessments indicating that the primary network components constitute 40%~50% of the overall structure. Meanwhile, the study identifies potential critical road sections using the percolation threshold and the peak of robustness metric changes and proposes a method to distinguish effective critical road sections by comparing their impact on the overall network. The research framework, spanning from robustness assessment to critical section identification, offers insights for evaluating and enhancing the robustness of transportation networks, providing theoretical support for network planning and management.

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李洁 ,张欣宇 ,朱全军 ,肖向良 ,周苏华 ?.滑坡灾害影响下高速公路网络鲁棒性分析[J].湖南大学学报:自然科学版,2025,52(1):176~186

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-01-22
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